Author: Michał Sobczyński

Armenia’s repositioning over 2025–2026 is the deepest geopolitical reconfiguration this state has undergone since it gained independence in 1991. The package of external commitments — TRIPP, with its dominant American stake; the €2.5 billion European Global Gateway; the quadrilateral defence alignment with France, India and Greece; the Kazakh Roadmap; and the framework nuclear agreement with the United States — is politically coherent and undeniably alters the geometry of the region. It opens up opportunities for Armenia of a kind not previously available, but its success depends on overcoming a series of political, financial and executional risks that may yet prevent the ambitious declarations from translating into durable change.