On 16 September, in her State of the Union address, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that she wanted to work on opening the way for Canada to become the first “associate member” of the European Union. Such a status is not provided for in the treaties, its content has yet to be worked out, and, according to media reports, the member states had not been informed of the idea beforehand.
Autor: Ewa Polak
Opublikowano: 06/10/2026
The agreement concluded between the Kurds and the government of Ahmed al-Sharaa is very good news, creating an opportunity for Syria’s stabilization. Its key element is Mazlum Abdi’s announced dissolution of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) as a separate formation and the integration of their structures into the Syrian government forces in an organized manner, through the creation of five new brigades based on the SDF. The agreement is also in Europe’s interest, as its effective implementation would reduce the risk of migration pressure and an elevated terrorist threat.
Autor: Witold Repetowicz
Opublikowano: 25/09/2026
The address of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas was played from a recording, because his delegation had been denied US visas. Abbas spoke of a genocidal war in Gaza, warned that the very existence of the Palestinian people is now under threat, and appealed to Donald Trump to honour his commitment to prevent the annexation of Palestinian land.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 25/09/2026
The first day of the debate produced a shared diagnosis of a collapsing order. The second produced a dispute over whether the UN is worth repairing at all. Rwandan Prime Minister Justin Nsengiyumva said that the Organization is better at responding to crises than at preventing them, and that institutions earn legitimacy through results rather than promises.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 24/09/2026
The speeches on the first day of the general debate of the UN General Assembly produced a fairly coherent diagnosis, but no shared remedy. UN Secretary-General António Guterres spoke of four challenges linked to the exercise of power, namely war, inequality, climate change and artificial intelligence.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 23/09/2026
As the Pentagon reviews the US military presence in Europe and allied capitals assess its possible consequences, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen used her September State of the Union address to present two initiatives that go notably beyond the existing repertoire of EU external policy: an offer of associate member status to Canada and a proposal for a European Security Council.
Autor: Patryk Litwinski
Opublikowano: 23/09/2026
On 7 September 2026 an agreement was signed in Kabul that in ordinary circumstances would have been trade press news at most. The Saudi Delta group agreed with the Taliban Ministry of Mines and Petroleum to explore for oil and gas in the west of the country, in Herat province, on the border with Iran and Turkmenistan.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 22/09/2026
The Duma elections scheduled for September 18–20 are less a democratic exercise than an indirect indicator of the direction in which the Russian authoritarian regime is heading. The results of this quasi-electoral process will make it possible to assess how effectively the Kremlin can maintain a veneer of stability amidst mounting losses on the front lines, internal elite infighting over the seizure of assets, and a social contract that—since 2000—has been redefined three times and gradually stripped of any substance that might positively impact the lives of ordinary citizens.
Autor: Miłosz J. Cordes
Opublikowano: 18/09/2026
Since 2022, Russia has systematically attacked Ukraine's energy infrastructure. The first wave of strikes targeted substations, cutting off power distribution; the second hits generating capacity directly. According to data cited by BGK, Ukraine has lost around 70% of its pre-war generating capacity, while gas production fell by around 40% in 2025. The aim of this energy terrorism remains to paralyse the economy and break the will to resist – not only through the hardships caused by restricted access to electricity, water and heating, but through conditions that directly endanger civilians' lives, especially in winter.
Autor: Ewa Polak
Opublikowano: 15/09/2026
On 1 September 2026 Bishkek hosted seventeen heads of state and government at the annual summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, the twenty-sixth in its history, convened on the twenty-fifth anniversary of the organisation's founding. The host, Kyrgyzstan, which had just ended its year-long chairmanship, had a few weeks earlier been elected a non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council for 2027 and 2028, while in the same election Germany lost the seat reserved for the Western group.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski, Ewa Polak
Opublikowano: 04/09/2026
A few days before the first summit of the Carpathian Integration Initiative, scheduled for September 2026 in the Ivano-Frankivsk region, Warsaw still does not know whom it will send. Volodymyr Zelensky has invited representatives of seven states of the region to the summit, Poland among them, he is steering the project personally, some leaders have already confirmed their attendance and more than five hundred business representatives are expected on site, and yet Poland's decision on the level of its representation still has not been taken.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 01/09/2026
Iran emerges from the war with Israel and the US strengthened, regardless of the costs it has incurred. Unless a permanent collapse in negotiations occurs, it can recover its losses very quickly, and given its potential, it has a chance of becoming one of the world's largest economies within a few years. Crucial in this context is not the nuclear issue, but the high-stakes game over the Strait of Hormuz.
Autor: Witold Repetowicz
Opublikowano: 26/08/2026
The Union Civil Protection Mechanism was created as a tool for fast, targeted assistance between neighbours in response to events that exceed a single state's capacity to respond – from fires, floods and earthquakes to industrial accidents, chemical contamination or man-made disasters. The last two decades, and especially the events of recent years – the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine – have tested it in ways its architects never anticipated: not as a single, closed-ended event, but as a prolonged, multidimensional crisis with no clear end point.
Autor: Ewa Polak
Opublikowano: 24/08/2026
In late March 2026, a month after the outbreak of the war with Iran, Volodymyr Zelensky toured Jeddah, Abu Dhabi, Doha and Amman in three days. With Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Jordan he signed defence cooperation agreements providing for joint investment, joint production and the sharing of experience and solutions in defence against missiles and unmanned aircraft.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 20/08/2026
In recent months we have been witnessing a very significant shift in international relations. What is changing is the way states build their position in the international system. A growing number of middle powers no longer organise their entire strategy around a single centre, nor do they treat relations with competing great powers as mutually exclusive.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 17/08/2026
The summit in Ankara will deliver contracts, memoranda, and letters of intent, yet it will not clarify what Europe lacks most acutely — its own answer to the question of the long-term direction of the transformation being undertaken. At the root of the contemporary identity crisis lies not a deficit of financial resources but the absence of a shared European strategic culture, which Ankara may throw into particularly sharp relief, proving that material rearmament is outpacing the ability to define directions for joint action.
Autor: Patryk Litwiński
Opublikowano: 06/07/2026
On June 25-26, the next edition of the Ukraine Recovery Conference (URC 2026) will take place in Gdańsk. It is the world’s largest event dedicated to the reconstruction of Ukraine, bringing together politicians, business representatives, and financial institutions from dozens of countries. It will focus on five main areas: business, human resources/demographics, local governments and the European Union, as well as security and defense. The recovery of Ukraine does not merely mean the physical rebuilding of war damage. It can be divided into two dimensions: soft and hard reconstruction.
Autor: Michał Kujawski
Opublikowano: 17/06/2026
This is not the first time Western countries have turned their attention to Central Asia – the region was already the focus of external attention in the 19th century as the theatre of the Great Game, then following the collapse of the Soviet Union, and a further wave of interest arose after the 9/11 attacks and the subsequent American involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Autor: Ewa Polak
Opublikowano: 04/05/2026
Poland faces a decision that shapes its long-term security architecture: whether the younger generation will become an active strategic asset for the state, or remain a group that is merely a target of public policies without having any real influence over their design.
Autor: Patryk Litwiński, Maciej Dachowski, Hanna Miśniakiewicz, Julia Oleszyńska
Opublikowano: 21/04/2026
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 17/04/2026
Autor: Maciej Dachowski, Ewelina Załuska
Opublikowano: 15/04/2026
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 06/03/2026
Despite continuing to frame itself in great-power terms, Russia is gradually losing the capacity to perform the systemic functions that for decades made it an indispensable actor in the international order.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 12/02/2026
For Taiwan the last days of 2025 were characterised by yet another Chinese military drills around the island located 180-kilometers off the coast of mainland China. The drills have been conducted days after the announcement of $11bn U.S. weapons sale to Taiwan, one of the biggest weapon sales in Taiwan’s history.
Autor: Michał Malak
Opublikowano: 04/02/2026
The establishment of the so-called Board of Peace, proposed by the President of the United States Donald Trump, should be understood not as an episode linked solely to Gaza, but as a symptom of a deeper transformation of the international order [1]. For the first time since 1945, a key system-shaping actor is not attempting to reform existing security institutions, but is instead deliberately initiating a mechanism that competes with them.
Autor: Maciej Dachowski
Opublikowano: 20/01/2026
