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Bezpieczeństwo Międzynarodowe i Obronność

  1. Start
  2. Bezpieczeństwo Międzynarodowe i Obronność
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – The Big Push (19.08-25.08.2023)

    The liberation of Robotyne and the major Ukrainian assault towards Tokmak may be the big make or break of the Ukrainian offensive.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 25/08/2023
  • Schrödinger’s Oligarch – Possible Scenarios of Prigozhin’s Death

    For now the world can only watch as the Kremlin plays its hand.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 25/08/2023
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – Trouble in the East (05.08.-11.08.2023)

    Time seems to be slowly running out for the Ukrainian offensive and there is trouble brewing in the east.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 11/08/2023
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – Slow and Steady (29.07.-04.08.2023)

    The situation on the frontlines of Ukraine is developing both with noticeable successes for the Ukrainian forces, as well as mounting pressure from the Russian forces in the northern section of the eastern front.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 04/08/2023
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – Russian Counter Strike (15.07-21.07.2023)

    The situation is difficult, but Ukrainian forces are ready for a fight, defences have been prepared, and the Western allies are searching for a way out of the Russian ultimatum.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 21/07/2023
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – 500 Days of Ukrainian Resistance (08.07-14.07.2023)

    As the war passes the 500 day mark Ukrainian armed forces are continuing their offensive in full swing.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 14/07/2023
  • Cluster munitions for Ukraine – Making a Difficult yet Necessary Decision

    A decision to transfer cluster munitions to Ukraine - banned by most states in the world (but not by the United States, Ukraine, and Russia) - is seen as a controversial move that highlights the problems of the Ukrainian army on the front line. However, this is not an unprecedented action, as claimed by some critics.

    Autor: Robert Czulda
    Opublikowano: 14/07/2023
  • Prigozhin’s Rebellion and its consequence possible weakening of Putin’s power

    The June 24, 2023 coup by Y. Prigozhin and the march of the Wagner group to Moscow put into question the support for President Putin both in the army structures and among Russian citizens.

    Autor: Olga Jastrzębska
    Opublikowano: 13/07/2023
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – Russian Pressure (01.07-07.07.2023)

    The Russian concentration of troops and counterattacks along the Lyman-Svatove-Kupyansk line are a worrying sign. Increased pressure from Russian forces along this sector might force Ukrainian forces to transfer additional resources and manpower, potentially at a cost to their own offensive efforts.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 07/07/2023
  • WAR IN UKRAINE WEEKLY UPDATE – Situation After Prigozhin Putsch (24.06-30.06.2023)

    As Ukrainians hope to capitalise on the temporary chaos and unrest in Russia they are once again forced to contend with extensive Russian defences. Minefields are one of the primary challenges faced by advancing Ukrainian soldiers, and they require the right tools to forge a path through them.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 30/06/2023
  • Prigozhin’s Putsch – Possible Scenarios

    The situation in Russian is extraordinarily dynamic and chaotic. The reasons, objectives and even allegiances of involved actors are in majority unknown. Amidst the informational chaos only one thing can be certain – whatever happens the influence on the war in Ukraine and Russia as a nation will be unprecedented.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 24/06/2023
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – Ukrainian Offensive Continues (17.06-23.06.2023)

    Thus, while the progress might be slow it does not mean that the offensive is failing - quite the opposite it is just beginning.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 23/06/2023
  • Russian Assault Tactics in Ukraine

    If Russian forces continue to develop in such a manner and start applying similar philosophy to larger formations they could become a much more cohesive and effective fighting force with advanced battle tactics and access to vast amounts of men and resources to execute them.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 22/06/2023
  • War in Ukraine Weekly Update – Ukrainian Counteroffensive (10.06-16.06.2023)

    However, the united will of the West to continuously support Ukraine and provide with the right tools for the job, and armoured vehicles to support their troops, might set the odds in Ukrainian favour and spare the lives of many Ukrainian soldiers. The ongoing offensive rests on the skill and bravery of Ukrainian soldiers and equipment and will of the allied West.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 16/06/2023
  • War in Ukraine – weekly update (03.06-09.06.2023)

    The long awaited Ukrainian counter offensive has finally begun. Ukrainian forces went on the attack sometime on June 7 in several areas along the line of contact stretching along the entire Zaporizhia Oblast and Donetsk Oblast up to Bakhmut.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 09/06/2023
  • War in Ukraine – weekly update (27.05-02.06.2023)

    As both sides prepare it seems that the upcoming Ukrainian offensive might be the make or break of the war, not only on the battlefield but also in the political sphere and western support of Ukraine.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 02/06/2023
  • War in Ukraine – weekly update (20.05-26.05.2023)

    After 10 months of fighting the Russians, spearheaded by Wagner Group’s forces have at last captured the defiant city of Bakhmut.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 26/05/2023
  • The Fall of Bakhmut

    Bakhmut has fallen. On May 20, 2023, on the one year anniversary of the fall of Mariupol, Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin declared that Bakhmut had officially been captured in its entirety, which plays very neatly into Russian obsession with symbolism, which is used for propaganda purposes - two “mighty” Ukrainian cities taken on the same date.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 25/05/2023
  • South Korea remains unwilling to provide military aid to Ukraine

    Despite mounting pressure, South Korea remains unwilling to provide military assistance to Ukraine. This stance is rooted not only in Seoul's longstanding policy of refraining from supplying arms to nations engaged in active conflict, but also in the highly sensitive security situation in the region.

    Autor: Robert Czulda
    Opublikowano: 23/05/2023
  • War in Ukraine: Lessons for Taiwan and the PRC

    During the early stages of the war, some were worried that Russia's aggression against Ukraine could lead to a similar attack on Taiwan by China. This argument was not unfounded, as a quick Russian victory could embolden China to launch an attack on Taiwan, while a prolonged conflict in Europe could prevent the United States from deploying more forces to the Indo-Pacific.

    Autor: Robert Czulda
    Opublikowano: 22/05/2023
  • War in Ukraine – weekly update (13.05-19.05.2023)

    The battle for Bakhmut continues. Ukrainian forces have launched a series of counter offensives in the Bakhmut area.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 19/05/2023
  • Poland – Taiwan: possibilities and constraints of defense collaboration

    Although defense cooperation with Taiwan (Republic of China) is difficult, as it is burdened with numerous risks, there are several areas that can be developed.

    Autor: Robert Czulda
    Opublikowano: 19/04/2023
  • Rousing the War Industry in Ukraine

    In a recent development a number of senior UK defence industry officials arrived in Kyiv to discuss plans for a joint venture between the two countries.

    Autor: Sebastian Czub
    Opublikowano: 22/02/2023
  • One year of Russia’s war against Ukraine: Ukrainians fighting for survival, the West adapting its strategy, centres of gravity shifting.

    Most of us remember vividly the 11th September, 2001 – it was the day that changed many peoples’ lives and forced countries and international institutions to adapt their way of life, their priorities and strategies.

    Autor: Robert Pszczel
    Opublikowano: 18/02/2023
  • Japan’s new defence strategy: a final deviation from pacifist post-WWII self-defence policy?

    Recently Tokyo announced three key security-related documents, which – if implemented – would deeply change Japan’s military capabilities and its position in a geostrategic landscape of Asia.

    Autor: Robert Czulda
    Opublikowano: 06/02/2023
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